Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#163
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#145
Pace70.5#159
Improvement-2.1#274

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#242
First Shot-4.3#297
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#83
Layup/Dunks-1.6#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#198
Freethrows+0.3#152
Improvement-2.9#299

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#105
First Shot+1.2#138
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#49
Layups/Dunks+2.5#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#303
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement+0.8#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge W 83-71 76%     1 - 0 +4.5 +3.5 +0.4
  Nov 14, 2015 226   South Dakota W 72-65 73%     2 - 0 +0.3 -4.0 +4.6
  Nov 15, 2015 145   Wright St. W 65-59 56%     3 - 0 +4.3 +3.9 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2015 217   @ Idaho W 66-59 51%     4 - 0 +6.5 -3.4 +10.0
  Dec 02, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 80-58 95%     5 - 0 +2.9 -5.1 +6.9
  Dec 04, 2015 143   @ Missouri L 71-78 33%     5 - 1 -2.7 -0.5 -2.2
  Dec 16, 2015 69   @ Ohio St. L 54-67 15%     5 - 2 -2.0 -12.8 +11.1
  Dec 19, 2015 236   Florida International W 78-75 2OT 76%     6 - 2 -4.5 -10.7 +5.8
  Dec 29, 2015 331   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-65 81%     7 - 2 -4.6 -4.3 -0.4
  Jan 06, 2016 137   Ohio W 80-69 53%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +10.0 +6.8 +3.7
  Jan 09, 2016 159   Eastern Michigan W 80-63 59%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +14.4 +3.8 +10.4
  Jan 12, 2016 128   @ Toledo W 71-66 29%     10 - 2 3 - 0 +10.4 -0.7 +11.1
  Jan 16, 2016 184   @ Western Michigan L 69-83 43%     10 - 3 3 - 1 -12.4 -8.5 -2.7
  Jan 19, 2016 157   Central Michigan W 75-70 59%     11 - 3 4 - 1 +2.5 -6.9 +9.1
  Jan 22, 2016 128   Toledo W 58-49 51%     12 - 3 5 - 1 +8.6 -19.5 +27.6
  Jan 26, 2016 99   @ Akron L 66-76 20%     12 - 4 5 - 2 -1.5 -4.8 +3.4
  Jan 30, 2016 244   @ Miami (OH) L 59-72 56%     12 - 5 5 - 3 -14.9 -5.9 -10.3
  Feb 02, 2016 136   Buffalo L 78-90 53%     12 - 6 5 - 4 -13.0 -6.4 -4.9
  Feb 06, 2016 137   @ Ohio L 69-80 31%     12 - 7 5 - 5 -6.2 -6.6 +0.7
  Feb 09, 2016 182   @ Kent St. L 74-75 42%     12 - 8 5 - 6 +0.8 -2.1 +3.0
  Feb 13, 2016 99   Akron W 80-79 39%     13 - 8 6 - 6 +3.7 +6.1 -2.5
  Feb 16, 2016 246   Bowling Green W 71-60 76%     14 - 8 7 - 6 +3.3 -3.2 +6.8
  Feb 19, 2016 160   @ Ball St. L 59-63 37%     14 - 9 7 - 7 -0.9 -5.8 +4.5
  Feb 23, 2016 157   @ Central Michigan L 64-76 36%     14 - 10 7 - 8 -8.6 -7.9 -1.3
  Feb 27, 2016 184   Western Michigan W 76-67 65%     15 - 10 8 - 8 +4.7 +0.6 +4.0
  Mar 01, 2016 159   @ Eastern Michigan L 71-75 37%     15 - 11 8 - 9 -0.7 -4.7 +4.1
  Mar 04, 2016 160   Ball St. W 80-69 59%     16 - 11 9 - 9 +8.3 +10.1 -1.3
  Mar 07, 2016 184   Western Michigan W 56-50 65%     17 - 11 +1.7 -17.2 +19.0
  Mar 10, 2016 137   Ohio L 62-79 42%     17 - 12 -15.1 -12.1 -3.3
Projected Record 17.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%